Wednesday (June 15)

• Extremely heavy rains are expected over parts of Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya, while very heavy rains are likely over parts of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura and sub West Bengal. -Himalayan and Sikkim. Heavy rains will hit parts of eastern Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry, Karaikal, Kerala and Mahe.
• Widespread showers with thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Mahé and Lakshadweep.
• Fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorms is likely over Jharkhand, Eastern Madhya Pradesh, Konkan, Goa, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry and Karaikal.
• Scattered showers with thunderstorms are forecast over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Vidharbha, East Coast ‘Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Rayalaseema and the interior of Karnataka.
• Isolated rains with thunderstorms are likely over Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Rajasthan, western Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat region, Saurashtra and Kutch.
• Maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40°C in parts of Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, of Uttarakhand and Bihar.

Thursday (June 16)

• Extremely heavy showers are expected over parts of Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim; very heavy rains are likely over parts of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. Heavy rains are expected over parts of Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh, East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Kerala and Mahe.
• Widespread rains accompanied by thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, India. Himachal Pradesh, coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Mahé and Lakshadweep.
• Fairly widespread rains with thunderstorms are likely over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, East Madhya Pradesh, Konkan, Goa, Chhattisgarh, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal and inner South Karnataka.
• Scattered showers with thunderstorms are likely over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Vidharbha, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and northern interior Karnataka.
• Isolated rains accompanied by thunderstorms are expected over eastern Rajasthan, western Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat region, Saurashtra and Kutch.
• Maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40°C in parts of Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.

Summary of forecasts for the next five days

Conditions are favorable for a further advance of the southwest monsoon in other parts of the North Arabian Sea, Gujarat, South Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and parts of Vidarbha, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, West Central and North West Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, all of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Bihar by Thursday or Friday.

Strong southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal will continue to produce heavy rains with daily rainfall of 150-200mm in northeast India and adjacent areas throughout this week. The total five-day rainfall amount will accumulate to over 500mm, which will pose a threat of flooding and landslides in some areas.

Heavy rains will increase in coverage of eastern India and adjoining regions from Thursday due to the advancing southwest monsoon.

Consecutive westerly disturbances and lower level easterly winds will produce widespread rains with locally heavy falls over the western Himalayan region and adjacent plains from Thursday.

As for mercury levels, maximum temperatures will be near normal across much of India during this projection period. The western Himalayan region and adjacent plains will experience a shift from warmer than normal daytime temperatures to near or cooler than average temperatures this weekend, thanks to disturbances from the west. Minimum temperatures will be near normal over much of India during the outlook period, while nightly above normal lows will continue in northern parts and the western coast of the subcontinent.

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